7th Jun, 2007

Chinese Yuan Carry Trade Basket Update - June 7, 2007

Here is an update on the performance of the Chinese Yuan Carry Trade Basket. The experiment was started with a base of $100,000 on March 20, 2007.

Since Inception:

Increase (decrease) in Account Balance: $7,379.42
Increase (decrease) in Unrealized Gains: $12,751.94
Increase (decrease) in Net Asset Value: $20,131.36
Total Portfolio Value: $120,131.36 +20.13%

Although the Chinese Yuan has been gaining considerable strength over the past three months, declining about 1.31%, my belief is that the currency will tread water for now.  The quick decline was due to political pressure placed on China to appreciate the Yuan.  I have also been running the Chinese Yuan Carry Trade Basket at double the size of the positions as was presented in the original post.  The performance of that fund is just two times the above performance figures.  Please check back for further updates at a later time.  I would appreciate any suggestions on improving the strategy.

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Responses

Is there a cost effective way to use out-of-the-money puts (or something else) to protect from a sudden, major move against the position by the Yuan?

[…] Increase (decrease) in Account Balance: $9,569.53 Increase (decrease) in Unrealized Gains: $18,364.90 Increase (decrease) in Net Asset Value: $27,934.43 Total Portfolio Value: $127,934.43 +27.93% Since Inception (10 times leveraged basket): […]

hi, that is a very nice result. could you pls post the most recent updated result? thanks.

Hi can you please post a current update. How has the portfolio faired through the recent carry unwinds???
(Date today Nov 16 2007)

Also I am assuming this portfolio is being run on Oanda - or would you recommend another broker??

Regards

Tim,

I just updated the site with the Chinese Yuan Carry Trade Basket performance, it can be viewed at:
http://www.thefinancialwhiz.com/2007/12/04/chinese-yuan-carry-trade-basket-december-4-2007/

The portfolio has held up surprisingly to any of the carry trade unwinds, mostly due to the fact that it is not a Yen carry trade portfolio, which takes out a lot of the volatility. I wish I had further details, but I will begin to monitor the portfolio more closely now that I have the time.

Yes, the portfolio is being managed at Oanda, which by far is the best Forex broker that I have worked with over the years.

Thanks for the message and please check back for future updates.

Bryan

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All ideas, opinions, and/or forecasts, expressed or implied herein, are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to invest, trade, and/or speculate in the markets. Trade at your own risk. Contact the author at: bryan@thefinancialwhiz.com
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